Question 420 of 433
Realistically, what will be different in five years and in fifteen?
The short answer
In five years, better versions of what works now. In fifteen, perhaps the first treatments that target aging itself.
By about 2031, I expect: cholesterol and blood pressure controlled with a few injections a year or a single pill; obesity treated as routinely as high blood pressure; blood tests for Alzheimer’s in primary care; cancer blood tests that are better and clearer in their role; and cancer vaccines for several tumor types.
By about 2041, it is possible, not certain, that we will have: one-time gene editing for inherited risks; the first approved drug shown to delay several age-related diseases at once; reprogramming therapies for specific organs; and replacement organs that do not come from a human donor.
I would not promise more. I also would not bet against it.
“This book is for education. It is not medical advice, and reading it does not make you my patient or create a doctor-patient relationship.” From the book’s medical disclaimer. Full disclaimer
AUTHOR’S FORECAST — Five- and fifteen-year scenarios are possibilities, not evidence-based promises.Evidence grade (draft mapping)JClinical judgment / author synthesisPart 28, Q420 · Part sources
From Longevity Unmasked by Afshine Ash Emrani, MD, FACC. Medical disclaimer. This book is for education. It is not medical advice, and reading it does not make you my patient or create a doctor-patient relationship. Nothing here is meant to diagnose, treat, cure, or prevent any disease. Medicine is personal: a test, drug, supplement, or exercise plan that helps one person can harm another. Do not start, stop, or change any medication or treatment because of something you read in these pages. Talk with a licensed clinician who knows your history first. If you think you are having a medical emergency, call 911. The author disclaims responsibility for any loss or harm arising from use of the information in this book.